Gabriel Magalhães: By the numbers

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Chelsea's Brazilian midfielder Willian (L) vies with Lille's Brazilian defender Gabriel dos Santos Magalhaes during the UEFA Champion's League Group H football match between Chelsea and Lille at Stamford Bridge in London on December 10, 2019. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP) (Photo by GLYN KIRK/AFP via Getty Images)

It took a while for the official announcement but Arsenal have made Gabriel Magalhães the newest member of the Arsenal squad.

Before we get into the stats, I do want to comment that the PR content team did a great job to figure out a way to make a fun announcement, especially considering that the player is still quarantining.

I also want note that statistics for defenders is something that should be taken with a grain of salt. Defending statistics are heavily influenced by the style of play and tactics of the team. More importantly, it is trying to stop something from happening, and doing that successfully doesn’t always produce an action that has a statistic recorded for it, and actually recording an event could be because of a mistake allowing for that opportunity.

Gabriel Magalhães Radar

Gabriel Magalhães: By the numbers

All stats are per 90 unless noted, Percentile is a comparison to players who played at least 900 minutes at center back in the Big 5 European Leagues from 2017-18 to 2019-20 and the rank is for center backs during the 2019-20 season.

Defending

Again defending stats are far from perfect and these will be not adjusted for possession.

Tackle, Attempted – 2.07 per 90, 53rd percentile, rank 141

Tackle, Successful – 1.77 per 90, 70th percentile, rank 90

Interceptions – 0.95 per 90, 9th percentile, rank 293

Blocked Passes – 0.39 per 90, 38th percentile, rank 182

Clearances – 3.71 per 90, 20th percentile, rank 231

Foul, Committed – 0.78 per 90, 68th percentile, rank 112

Blocks – 0.78 per 90, 60th percentile, rank 132

Ball Recoveries (Opta) – 5.86 per 90, 67th percentile, rank 118

Ball Recoveries (FBRef)- 10.95 per 90, 66 percentile, rank 103

Aerial Duel, Total – 5.39 per 90, 84th percentile, rank 58

Aerial, Won – 3.49 per 90, 85th percentile, rank 59

Error – 0.09 per 90, 23rd percentile, rank 265

I think that the statistics above are pretty interesting. For the most part, it shows a player that is slightly above average at defensive actions. Lille as a team are actually among the lowest at total defensive actions (20th in tackles attempted, 17th in interceptions, 5th in fouls, and 6th in possession in Ligue 1).

At 6’2″ it also isn’t surprising that he is good in the air and that is something that should be helpful in the Premier League. I also like that when he does attempt tackles, his team comes away with the ball at a high rate while also not picking up many fouls.

Ball Progression/Passing

Pass completion – 82.1%, 49th percentile, rank 170

Expected Pass completion – 84.9%

Passes Completed – 52.57 per 90, 76th percentile, rank 94

xPass +/- – -1.82 per 90, 56th percentile, rank 171

Passer Rating – 50.18, 68th percentile, rank 90

Final 3rd Entry Passes – 4.79 per 90, 91th percentile, rank 30

Progressive Passes – 4.31 per 90, 86th percentile, rank 53

Passing Value Added – 0.05 per 90, 69th percentile, rank 82

xG Chain – 0.19 per 90, 59th percentile, rank 152

xG Buildup – 0.17 per 90, 63th percentile, rank 135

Shot Creating Actions – 0.65 per 90, 73rd percentile, rank 102

Dribble, Attempted – 0.3 per 90, 59th percentile, rank 164

Dribble, Successful – 0.22 per 90, 56th percentile, rank 161

Progressive Carries – 2.8 per 90, 67th percentile, rank 113

Progressive Carry Distance – 155.16 per 90, 84th percentile, rank 73

Miscontrolled – 0.26 per 90, 25th percentile, rank 233

Dispossessed – 0.34 per 90, 15th percentile, rank 267

xTurnovers – 0.99 per 90, 81st percentile, rank 64 (more about xTurnovers here)

xTurn +/- – 0.3 per 90, 72nd percentile, rank 90

Ball Retention Rating – 72.22, 58th percentile, rank 133

These are the statistics that make me excited about Gabriel.

He looks to be an above-average passing center back. His pass completion rate could use some improvement, but the lower rate seems to be affected by his propensity to try to advance the ball.

He has areas to strengthen in his passing, most noticeably is that he is one of the most one-footed players, even among center backs who aren’t that often tasked with passing with their weaker foot. He uses his left foot 88% of the time, making him the 15th most one-footed player among center backs. This could partially be explained that he for the most part did not face a lot of pressure, with just 12% of his pass attempts coming under pressure in Ligue 1 last season.

I think that overall this kind of ball progression profile is exactly what Mikel Arteta wants from his deep players. He looks like a player that will fill the role that David Luiz has held on the left side of the center backs.

Overall Impression

I will be completely honest and say upfront that I have not watched him play any full matches. A lot of this is down to BeIn sports carrying Ligue 1 and the channel not having a wide carriage him in the US. From the scouting reports I have read (this is a good one and I think Mark is one of the go-to people for scouting on defenders)  and the stats I have seen above makes me optimistic about this signing.

I think the fact that Arsenal have Luiz in front of him will be a positive, as he shouldn’t have to be thrown into the fire early in his time with Arsenal. I think he fits the profile for Arsenal to be a ball dominate possession team, adding good ball progression from deeper positions. William Saliba has a similar profile, giving Arsenal two very good ball-playing center backs for the future.

It is exciting to see the potential for a long term settled center back partnership at the club.

@oh_that_crab

Sources: Opta via Whoscored and my own database, StatsBomb via FBRef

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K-Gooner

Welcome to The Arsenal GM6! Hope you turn out to be world class alongside Saliba. Scott, great job with the numbers as usual. Would be interesting to see the effects of a solid backline! COYG

GARRY

I have seen him play and believe me arsenal are in for a reality check. he’s a good player with good potential if coached properly that is why I think he may turn out just fine. BUT he is very raw, he is also not as comfortable in possession as some of our other defenders. for a Brazilian he is not very technical. if I had to say it this way he is not a real ball playing center back, his ground pass from the back is not very accurate and sometimes weak because most mod the time when he’s… Read more »

ashish mann

Terrible numbers

Johnny 4 Hats

Makes you wonder whether or not numbers really mean anything.

Good job we haven’t sacked our whole scouting operation in favour of a big old computer programme. You’d have to be really…

Oh. Really? What, like all of them?

Numbers are important.

Apart from Gabriel’s.

bob

I particularly liked the number 29, which happens to be the number of thumbs down you have at the time of writing.

Scott makes a very good point about judging defensive numbers. We will see how he works in our set up in due time, but the above stats suggest he has a decent chance of doing well for us.

Marvellous Gooner

For a 22yr old.
It’s a goddamned nice foundational stats.
Great stuff!

Goonerink

So now we have gabigol and gabinogol!

Daveo

Jeez, I hope they aren’t like matter and anti matter and just annihilate each other upon contact.

Mentalista

Often I just comment “LOL” but this time I actually physically laughed.

HBK

Our VVD… for many years to come!

Jack

This is the kind of ridiculous hype that all but ensures a young player will disappoint. Let’s just hope he develops well and becomes a quality starting Premier League centre back, for now!

Man Manny

I am really excited about the future with Arteta. I wish the Board had given him the reins immediately after the great Arsene.
The way he is going, we will certainly give the present Top 4 a huge fight.
If we bring in any of the touted players in the middle, I’ll tip us to break into the Top 4.

Redass

Angel Gabriel defender of gunners

kaius

Cheers Scott, great stuff.

Would be interested to see these numbers but for under-23 defenders. I suspect his numbers would really jump out and explain why he was so sought after. He looks prodigious in some areas and has room for development in others, but at 22 he looks well ahead of the curve.

Stephen Neville

Don’t be mean. He is above average. I hope his distribution is normal too.

chet weise

pareto optimal comment

djourou's nutmeg

thanks for sharing these numbers. i think that you should state the total number of cb’s that make the cut to the ranking, because being ranked 132 ain’t the same if there are only 140 cbs or 300. maybe you could just use percentiles as you do for the 3 seasons’ span. it’d also be useful if you gave some insight on why you chose to take into account the past 3 seasons and not the last 4 or the last 2. in the 2017-18 season gabriel was 19 i believe, and was loaned to two different clubs that season.… Read more »

Jack

Between those stats, the scouting report (which I thought was excellent), and my own experience watching Lille, I think there’s reason to temper expectations. He’s 22, and clearly not anywhere near a top Premier League CB yet. The fans will want a Gabriel-Saliba partnership ASAP but Mikel probably won’t, and probably shouldn’t, rush them into the first team.

Hopefully we now have a young defensive core of the future, though.

David

Well aslong as he can fix up the defence for Arsenal will be happy