It is going to be a quick one because it’s a holiday weekend and I don’t want to make myself even miserable with extra time thinking too deeply about this match.
Southampton 1-0 Arsenal: By the graphics
Southampton 1-0 Arsenal: By the numbers
23 – Shots from Arsenal
7 – Shots from within 15 meters
1 – Big chance
0.06 – Expected goals per shot for Arsenal
On paper, 23 shots seems pretty good but in this match Arsenal had a lot of low and medium quality chances. They had just one chance that was 20% or more to be a goal (the Saka chance), they had just two additional chances that were more than 10%. On top of it this was a match where Fraiser Foster made a few good saves on the chances Arsenal could get on target.
79 – Times Arsenal moved the ball into the final third in this match
14.2 – Final third passes needed to generate a shot (full game)
43 – Final third passes needed to generate a shot in the first half
In this match, Arsenal spent a lot of time in the final third but really struggled to actually threaten the Southampton goal.
7.06 – Arsenal expected goals for their shots since the Liverpool Match
2 – Arsenal’s goals since the Liverpool Match
Arsenal haven’t played especially great during this run but they have also picked one of the worst times to go on a cold finishing run. Some of the xG accumulation is due to being behind in these matches but the general performances have not looked great.
On defense, it is the opposite story. Arsenal have allowed 8 goals from 4.53 expected goals.
Luck and performance have not been on Arsenal’s side and that has seen things go south fast on the table.
That’s it for today. I hope you all enjoy your Easter, Passover, Ramadan or just rest of you weekend and can get over this loss.
Sources: Opta via whoscored, my own database, the Danny Page Longterm expected goals simulator for the graphics above.