Monday, November 25, 2024

Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest – By The Numbers

ARSENAL 3–0 NOTTM FOREST: BY THE VISUALS

ARSENAL 3–0 NOTTM FOREST: BY THE NUMBERS

11 — League games played heading into Saturday’s home match against Nottingham Forest, following the last interlull until March 2025.

Across those 11 games, Arsenal have faced six of their toughest nine domestic fixtures: City (A), Villa (A), Chelsea (A), Spurs (A), Newcastle (A), and Liverpool (H).

9 — Consecutive league games (including Forest) from now until mid-January where Arsenal won’t face a single team that finished in the top half of the table last season, aside from United at home, who currently sit 12th.

It’s been a stop-start start to the Premier League season, with injuries, red cards, and questionable refereeing decisions all playing a role. A fair bit has gone against us, but we now have a chance to build momentum and start stacking up three points game by game.

That’s why it was so important to beat Forest – they were unbeaten in the league away from home this season (W3, D2) and are the only team to have beaten Liverpool at Anfield in 2024–25.

19 — Shots for Arsenal, the third most we’ve recorded in a league game this season, following matches against Leicester (35) and Southampton (29).

6 — Shots for Bukayo Saka (most overall). This is the third time this season Saka has taken six or more shots in a game. Seven is the most any Arsenal player has registered all season (Saka twice and Havertz twice).

1.19 — Expected goals for Arsenal; we’ve accumulated more in only four domestic fixtures this season.

4 — Goals for Thomas Partey scored outside the box during his Arsenal career (0.04 xG on the day), out of a total of seven.

17 — Years and 247 days young, Ethan Nwaneri became the youngest Englishman to score a league goal for Arsenal when he converted our third (0.08 xG, 0.17 xGOT).

7 — Games prior to Forest visiting The Arsenal in which we’d gone without stopping the opposition from scoring.

We won games last season because of our ability to consistently keep clean sheets. So far this season, we’ve conceded too many goals. There are a number of reasons—red cards, injuries, etc.—but it was reassuring to witness a defensive performance that produced stats similar to what we’d grown so accustomed to seeing last term.

0 — Shots on target for Forest. The first time this season that Raya hasn’t been called upon to make a save in the Premier League.

0.33 — Expected goals against. The second-best performance this season in terms of xG against, with only Leicester accumulating less (0.32) and well below our season average of 1.17 xGA.

7 — Shots for Forest. They’ve registered fewer in only two other games this season (Liverpool 5, Brighton 4).

66% — Possession for Arsenal, the second-highest we’ve registered this season.

57 — Touches in the opposition area for Arsenal. We’ve only recorded more in one other game this season, against Leicester (70).

61 — Touches for Bukayo Saka, with 49 of those in the attacking third (80%) and 13 (21%) in the opposition box. Saka has only had more touches of the ball in two games this season.

Arsenal’s right-hand side caused the opposition problems from start to finish, with Ødegaard unlocking Saka as they linked up for the opener and continued to do so throughout the match.

10 — Passes into the final third for Martin Ødegaard (first overall), 14 progressive passes (first overall), and six key passes (first overall).

Having the captain back is so, so reassuring and a joy to watch. He’s truly elite offensively and the star of our pressing game. It made perfect sense for Ødegaard to miss the international break, but I was surprised and relieved when he was sent back to Arsenal after flying out to Norway.

Three goals, three points, a clean sheet, no injuries, and it was nice to manage players’ minutes ahead of a tough schedule. Next.

Follow me on Bluesky @jonollington

Sources: my own database, Opta, fbref, @Orbinho Bluesky feed

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C.B.

Great match, I wasn’t expecting us to be that far in advance of a team in a similar position in the league. Injuries, for the third season in a row have been a major factor, so great to hear Mikel has had 19 players in training rather than 13, especially with Odegaard leading so well. Let’s hope this is a sign for how we’ll be able to play over the rest of the season, (and with Rice to come back too).

COYR!!!

C.B.

And no shots on target, that’s a great defence!

Johnny 4 Hats

It’s easy to say “it’s only forest” but this is a club on fire right now. And, it must be remembered, beat Liverpool (the team that apparently already have their hands on the title) 1 – 0 at Anfield. So yeah. A really massive day for us and a perfect result to get us going again. The one concern I have is our ability to deal with midweek CL games. We just don’t seem able to manage the 3 game-a-week structure without dropping valuable points in one of the competitions. I think it’s a skill set that needs time and… Read more »

Per's cojones

I’m surprised our xG wasn’t 2 or above. Felt like we created a lot of good chances in the 1st half but maybe it just felt so after going so long from quality freeflowing football.

Very interesting stat about our next 11 games being with teams from the bottom half, hopefully we get 25+ points to keep pressure at the top.

crapaud

Context is everything.
I didnt realise we’ve already played 6 of our 9 toughest domestic fixtures and we are still 4th despite some dubious red cards and key injuries. Future looks good if we can now keep players fit and on the pitch, so as to build on this latest result

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