Thursday, December 19, 2024

Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City: By the numbers

Arsenal have now won ten straight matches. That is impressive. The eight wins before the Fulham match and now this one against Leicester City were not always pretty but the team got the results that they needed. Now Arsenal have put together two impressive performances in a row and have re-entered the top four of the table.

Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City: By the graphs

Running xG

xG Shot Map
Shot Placement xG Map (this is a new model and more information can be found here)
Simulated Match Result from shots

Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City: By the numbers

Mesut Özil, Man of the Match

93% – Percentage of passes completed (62/67)

86% – Percentage of passes completed (31/36)

100% – Passes completed inside/or into the box (5/5)

3 – Killer Passes (A stat I created that has a value added greater than 0.05. For example THAT pass to Hector Bellerin, that bypassed 4 defenders and was a delight to watch was rated a 0.1 all by itself. For context that pass was as valuable as a typical shot from the center of the box in most occasions.)

4 – Chances created, 3 from open play, 2 Big Chances, 1 Assist

1.3 – xA created

1 – Shot, 1 on target, 1 goal scored

2 – Dribbles completed, of 2 attempted and suffered 2 fouls

This was the kind of performance that shows just how good Mesut Özil can be, and just how special a player he is. I just gave you a ton of the stats for what he did in the match and they are impressive, but if you watched that match and came away thinking anything but that he was incredible… well I don’t think that there is anything that can be done to convince you otherwise.

I hope that this is the start of Özil finding his role in the Emery system and that he can start reaching this level more regularly for Arsenal. When he plays like this Arsenal are joy to watch and can match any team in the league.

Alex Iwobi Blossoms under Emery

80% – Percentage of passes completed (40/50)

68% – Percentage of passes completed (15/22)

1 – Shot, on target, 0.07 xG

2 – Chances created, 0.3 xA

3 – Dribbles completed, of 5 attempted (7 times that he lost possession however and that could be cleaned up)

4 – Tackles of 7 total duels (led Arsenal)

Alex Iwobi didn’t fill up the stat sheet quite like Özil did but he has really impressed me so far this season and today was a continuation of that trend. In a squad that doesn’t have star wide players who have established themselves in the wide areas, Iwobi has done everything to make the position his own.

Also this happened:

Defenders need to keep their legs closed near Iwobi.

Arsenal’s second halves

Arsenal have been a slow starting team this season, playing poorly from the opening whistle. They then usually come out from half time and show a marked improvement in how they perform. The only real exception to this was the match away to Chelsea; but that still saw Arsenal fall behind quickly in the opening 20 minutes before they turned around the performance.

Below is a chart of the shots, goals and xG split out between the first and second halves this season.

Arsenal xG Shot Placement xG (Shots on Target)
Shots Goals
1st H 6.13 6.52 50 6
2nd H 8.04 11.23 66 15
Opponent xG Shot Placement xG (Shots on Target)
Shots Goals
1st H 4.72 6.37 53 6
2nd H 4.59 6.04 70 6

The match against Leicester played out the same way as so many of Arsenal’s other matches. The first half was very even stats wise, on shots (10 to 9), touches in the box (9 to 13), goals (1 to 1) and xG (0.8 to 0.6) both teams did about the same. Overall watching it looked like Leicester were the better team for about 30 minutes and then Arsenal woke up and started playing.

In the second half that flipped, especially until the last few minutes when the game was no longer in doubt.

Arsenal Leicester
Touches in the box 23 9
Final 3rd Touches 133 44
Shots 9 3
Big Chances 3 1
Goals 2 0
Passes into the box completed
16 1

I don’t know if there is some sort of plan to keep things tight for the first 45 minutes before unleashing the attack in the second half or that Arsenal are betting on their improved fitness to see them past a tired opponent but in this match and in general that has been Arsenal’s calling card.

@oh_that_crab

Stats Glossary

Sources: Opta via Statszone and Whoscored, my own database

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Goo-nerd

I can’t believe the Bayern press conference disaster and Mesut’s masterclass happened in the same week. It’s too rich – you couldn’t make this sh*t up.

F*ck Uli Hoeness and f*ck Bayern. There’s only one Mesut Özil!

Almọnd

I’m happy that pass to find bellerin for the second goal is rated same as a goal from the center. I just can’t stop wondering so much wisdom, intelligence, skill, knowledge and experience in one pass. I love you Arsenal Fc I’ve never been been ashamed to be your fan.

Michael

Once again, some terrific insights here – the stats and analytics on Ozil’s performance are especially good, in that they lend quantiative context to what we saw. One thing I have been wondering: in the ‘running XG’ chart, is there a reason why the XG ‘moments’ (i.e. when the XG chart goes up by a unit, representing a big chance) have a gradient, as opposed to being an instant increase? It kind of looks as though the chance built up over a minute or so – is that correct? In the build-up to Ozil’s goal, for example, the gradient is… Read more »

Devlin

Mesut is a special player. He is not the fastest, the strongest nor does he play with a high level of intensity, but what he does have is an unerring calmness on the pitch. He has confidence in his ability on the pitch and doesn’t seem to question his ability to pull off the sublime. I have to say though that his biggest weakness is also his greatest strength, which is his unselfishness. Mesut has put creating chances for teammates above taking those chances himself, and that in a football climate that typically favours the selfish, he will always be… Read more »

Aun

Couldn’t agree more. That pass to Bellerin was the very definition of “pre-assist” and thankfully it was converted. But man, to think of how many pre-assists have gone to waste in the past..

Raiden

Lucas Torreira stats?

Deerish

lots and lots of interception…a tireless dude

A Different George

The American post-match analysis included Kyle Martino (former US national team player) praising Torreira’s importance in creating a solid base for the attack ahead of him. He said that watching on the tactical camera, you could see Torreira constantly anticipating danger and shifting to cover every possible defensive gap. I think it is much easier for supporters at the match, rather than those of us who watched on television, to appreciate what Torreira does.

Kostas

Thanks guys for the stats and the insights. I totally agree for Lucas. He is the glue that keeps the team balanced. I dare to say that he is a 50:50 mix of Coq and Cazorla. The kind of player that makes the whole team play better.

FunGun

21point from 7 games, 21/21, #Project24 is on track! Crystal Palace next, then the Liverpool acid test….

Scott Willis

I wish that there was a way to get the full tactical camera after the match to be able to watch. Like the have for NFL where they publish the “All 22” film.

FunGun

The “All 22” camera angle would be great. With the existing heat map and player tracking technology it is hard to envision the movement of all the players simultaneously.

Would be very interesting to see the player movements off the ball, for example the way Vardy and Iheanacho positioned themselves to targeted the outside channels when Leicester did not have possession.

Another beauty was Auba’s movement for the second goal, he is already sprinting towards goal even before Ozil makes his defence splitting pass to Bellerin.

The “All 22” angle will be very insightful.

Cliff Bastin

Iwobi keeps nutmegging people.

Laca-Sead

Ozil was sublime! More of that please.

Andreas

Where are the player ratings?

arseblog

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